// OPPORTUNITY SCANNER
SECTOR: 🌍 GEO ⚡ ENERGY 🏅 METALS tap to isolate
TIMING: 🔴 ACT NOW 🟠 THIS WEEK ⚪ LATER tap to isolate
↻ API unavailable — prices are estimated from last known values. Click RETRY to try again.
// HOW THIS WORKS
BET CARDS
Each card is a live prediction market position. Colour = urgency: red=today, orange=this week, blue=later. Shows live price, your thesis, and a direct link to buy on Polymarket.
SCOUT
AI scans active Polymarket markets and surfaces the top 3 mispriced bets it finds — markets where the current price is far from fair value. Generates fresh analysis on demand.
KELLY CALCULATOR
Tells you how much to bet. Enter your probability vs the market price — it outputs the mathematically optimal bet size. Use Half Kelly. Click a bet preset to auto-fill.
PRICE ALERTS
Click the 🔔 bell on any card to set a price trigger. You'll get a notification when that market crosses your target — so you can time your entry.
// RESOLUTION TIMELINE
⚠ CORRELATED EXPOSURE DETECTED
// BET SIZING — KELLY CRITERION ▼ COLLAPSE
Kelly tells you how much of your bankroll to risk on each bet based on your edge. If you think a market is at 40% but you'd price it at 55%, you have a 15pp edge. Full Kelly maximises growth but is volatile — Half Kelly is recommended for prediction markets. Click any bet below to auto-fill from your current positions.
What you think the true odds are
What Polymarket currently shows
Total capital allocated to PM
YOUR EDGE
FULL KELLY (aggressive)
★ HALF KELLY — BET THIS
QUARTER KELLY (conservative)
MAX LOSS AT HALF KELLY
🔔 PRICE ALERTS
NO BETS MATCH YOUR FILTERS
// MACRO · LIVE
XAU/USD
GOLD
XAG/USD
SILVER
BTC/USD
BITCOIN
WTI CRUDE
OIL
📡 NEWS PULSE